
Programme | Day 1

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10:30 – 12:30
1.1 Labour: Time & Wage Shares
Room: WG403
Chair:
Within-Firm Income Distribution: The Determinants and Impact of Labour Share
Roya Taherifar - University of Waikato
Ambiguity and Labour Contracts under the New Normal
Xinyan Zhang - University of Auckland
How policy and institutions affect the shares of wages, profit, and rent in New Zealand
Bill Rosenberg - Institute for Governance and Policy Studies, Victoria University
10:30 – 12:00
1.2 MBIE Themed Session
Room: RHLT2
Chair: Corey Allan
Who benefits from firm success? Heterogenous rent sharing in New Zealand
Corey Allan - Ministry Of Business, Innovation And Employment
A first look at administrative hours data
Zaira Najam - Ministry Of Business, Innovation And Employment
Monopsony in the New Zealand labour market
Corey Allan - Ministry Of Business, Innovation And Employment
10:30 – 12:00
1.3 Taxation & Labour
Room: RHLT3
Chair: Jack Gordon
Future directions for the Treasury’s TAWA microsimulation model
Patrick Nolan - The Treasury
The Proximate Determinants of Differences in GDP per Worker across Some Major Cities in China
Benjamin Shen - University of Auckland
Cross-Country Differences in Taxation and Hours Worked: An Updated Perspective with a New Zealand Focus
Jack Gordon - Ministry Of Social Development
10:30 – 12:00
1.4 Energy & Equality
Room: RHMZ02
Chair: Sandamali Wijayarathne
“Snug, Warm, Cozy, Dry”: Assessing the contribution of a clean heat programme to householders’ wellbeing
Arthur Grimes - Motu Economic & Public Policy Research
Achieving a Timely, Efficient, Equitable and Orderly Transition to Net-Zero Emissions for Transport and Heating
Richard Meade - Cognitus Economic Insight & AUT
Remittances, Income Inequality and Energy Poverty in Sri Lanka: An Instrumental Variable Approach
Sandamali Wijayarathne - University of Waikato
10:30 – 12:00
1.5 Agriculture
Room: RHMZ03/04
Chair: Khoa Trinh
Psychological price barriers, El Niño, La Niña: New insights for the case of coffee
Mark Holmes - University of Waikato
Varietal Switching – An Adaptation Strategy to Climate Change
Amogh Prakasha Kumar - University of Canterbury
Is credit a miracle for poverty alleviation in developing countries? Empirical evidence from Vietnam
Khoa A. Trịnh - University of Otago
12:00 – 13:30
Lunch and Poster Session
12:00 – 13:30
POSTER SESSION Room: Mezzanine / Catering area
Strategic philanthropy
Vicky Barham - University of Ottawa
Precision dispensation of methane inhibitors in-paddock for pasture-based dairy: potential adoption levels and key determinants
Ben Marmont - DairyNZ, University of Waikato
Past drought experience, drought risk perception, and climate adaptation policies by farmers in New Zealand
Mui Nguyen - Victoria University of Wellington
The Proximate Determinants of Differences in GDP per Worker across Some Major Cities in China
Benjamin Shen - University of Auckland
The impacts of COVID-19 on earnings trajectories and New Zealand's underutilised workforce
Alexandra Turcu - AUT/NZ Work Research Institute
13:30 – 15:00
CONCURRENT SESSION 2
13:30 – 15:00
2.1 New Zealand Fiscal Policy
Room: RHLT1
Chair: Andrew Binning
Macroeconomic Policy for A Modern New Zealand Economy: Theory and Empirics from the post-1984 Era
Morgan Edwards - University of Otago
New Zealand’s lauded fiscal legislation: has it reduced fiscal uncertainty?
Michael Ryan - University of Waikato
Calculating Fiscal Multipliers in New Zealand Using an Estimated DSGE Model
Andrew Binning - The Treasury
13:30 – 15:00
2.2 Climate Change & Carbon Risk
Room: RHLT2
Chair: Niven Winchester
A laboratory test of free-riding in Pledge-and-Review
Henry Russell - New Zealand Treasury
The Climate PoLicy ANalysis (C-PLAN) Model, Version 1.0
Niven Winchester - Auckland University of Technology
13:30 – 15:00
2.3 Treasury Themed Session
Room: RHLT3
Chair: Tim Hughes
Trends in indicators of wellbeing, 2000-2020
Tim Hughes - The Treasury
Wellbeing in New Zealand: A Population Segmentation Analysis
Hien Nguyen - The Treasury
Understanding child poverty measurement in New Zealand using a clustering approach
Meghan Stephens - The Treasury
Households Distributional Impacts of NZ Emission Trading Scheme Carbon Prices
Cory Davis - The Treasury
13:30 – 15:00
2.4 Labour: Worker Skills
Room: RHMZ02
Chair: Alexander Plum
Worker Skill Composition, Competition and Innovation
Yeirae Rho - University of Auckland
The AI Revolution with 21st Century Skills: Implications for Wage Inequality and Technical Change
Rachael Grant - Reserve Bank Of New Zealand
Skills, Economic Crises and the Labour Market
Alexander Plum - AUT/NZ Work Research Institute
13:30 – 15:00
2.5 Gender & Income
Room: RHMZ03/04
Chair: Livvy Mitchell
Gendered parenting and the intergenerational transmission of gender stereotypes: Evidence from the GUINZ survey
Livvy Mitchell - Auckland University of Technology
Measuring and Decomposing the Income Mobility of Individuals in New Zealand: Evidence from Administrative Data
Nazila Alinaghi - Victoria University of Wellington
Two sides of the shakes – gender differentiated income outcomes of the Canterbury Earthquakes
Timothy Wilson - Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington
13:30 – 15:00
2.6 Migrant Workers
Room: RHMZ05/06
Chair: Linda Tran
Migration, Remittances and Cooking Fuel Usage in Sri Lanka: The Mediating Role of Household Wealth
Sandamali Wijayarathne - University of Waikato
Missing migrants: Border closures as a labor supply shock
Lynda Sanderson - New Zealand Productivity Commission
The Pacific workforce and the impact of COVID-19
Linda Tran - Auckland University of Technology
15:00 – 15:30
Afternoon Tea
15:30 – 17:00
CONCURRENT SESSION 3
15:30 – 17:00
3.1 AERU Themed Session
Room: RHLT1
Chair: Caroline Saunders
60th Anniversary of the AERU; Research to enhance New Zealand's wellbeing
Caroline Saunders - Lincoln University
Science, Knowledge, Mātauranga and Wellbeing
Paul Dalziel - AERU, Lincoln University
The AERU – new directions in climate change research
Anita Wreford - Lincoln University
15:30 - 17:00
3.2 Urban Planning & Infrastructure
Room: RHLT3
Chair: Stuart Donovan
A new ‘Henry George Theorem’ for NZ’s urban policy needs
Chris Parker - The Treasury
Investment gap or efficiency gap? Infrastructure investment costs in New Zealand
Peter Nunns - NZ Infrastructure Commission
Cities with forking paths? Agglomeration economies in New Zealand 1976-2018
Stuart Donovan - Veitch Lister Consulting
15:30 - 17:00
3.3 Household Expenditure
Room: RHMZ02
Chair: Yvonne Wang
An Economic Security Index for New Zealand: A Descriptive Analysis
Dawnelle Clyne - University of Auckland
Searching for the Hidden Poor: An Expenditure-based Approach to Measuring Child Poverty in New Zealand
Yvonne Wang - The Treasury
Associations between household expenditures and long-term conditions using administrative data with combined machine learning models
Nhung Nghiem - University of Otago
15:30 - 17:00
3.4 Transport & Tourism
Room: RHMZ03/04
Chair: Sophie Zhang
Forecasting tourist arrivals using Bayesian Structural Time Series
Sean Kimpton, Antony Andrews - Auckland University of Technology
Feasibility Analysis of Diesel-Hybrid Trucks in New Zealand
Mingyue Selena Sheng - The University of Auckland
The effect of predatory pricing in the American airline market on consumer surplus
Sophie Zhang - Auckland University of Technology
15:30 - 17:00
3.5 Digital Platforms & Social Media
Room: RHMZ05/06
Chair: Kambiz Borna
Privacy on a platform
Danny Kwon - University of Auckland
Social Media and the Evolution of Vaccine Preferences During the Covid-19 Pandemic
Robbie Maris - The University of Waikato
Representation of Financial Time Series Data in a Virtual Geographic Environment
Kambiz Borna - Unitec Institute of Technology